On the sidelines of the
Iran-U.S. Talks in Oman
The Conditions
Under Which the Regime of Iran Agrees to Negotiate with the U.S.
The first round of "indirect” negotiations
between Iran and the United States was held on Saturday, April 12 in
Muscat, the capital of Oman.
In these talks, the Iranian delegation was
led by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, while the American delegation was
headed by Steve Witkoff. Both sides described the discussions as “positive and
constructive,” and the negotiations are scheduled to continue in Rome, Italy, next
Saturday, April 19, 2025.
The talks were conducted in written form
and were “indirect.” Fewer than ten documents were exchanged between the two
sides. The first document was delivered by Araghchi. The content of the
document has not yet been made public. In his messages, Araghchi stated that
Iran had not come to Muscat for show, rather, Tehran's main goal is to assess
the sincerity and seriousness of the American side and to determine the
feasibility of reaching an agreement.
It was emphasized that the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will be the only foreign body allowed to oversee
Iran’s nuclear program. In exchange for nuclear restrictions and monitoring,
Tehran is demanding the lifting of sanctions in several sectors. Furthermore,
once these sanctions are lifted, the United States must not reimpose them under
other pretexts.
Araghchi also stipulated that a general
framework agreement is essential for the continuation of the negotiations. If
the U.S. rejects Iran’s proposed framework in the first session, it must
present an alternative for Iran to review.
On Saturday, Iran told the U.S. that the
responsibility for ensuring the "snapback mechanism" is not activated
rests entirely with Washington. Witkoff brought two individuals with him to
Muscat, one of whom is a nuclear affairs expert.
The European Troika (UK, France, and
Germany) is deeply concerned about being sidelined in this process.
The White House, in a statement, described
the first round of talks in Oman as “very positive and constructive.”
The statement read: “Special envoy
Witkoff emphasized to Dr. Araghchi that he has been tasked by President Trump
to resolve the disputes between the two countries through dialogue and
diplomacy, if possible.”
The statement continued: “These issues
are very complex, and today’s direct engagement by the U.S. special envoy was a
step forward toward achieving a mutually beneficial outcome.” The White
House also announced that both sides will meet again next Saturday (April 19).
Now, considering the rapid developments in
recent months, the intensifying psychological warfare, and rising tensions
between Iran and the United States, it is worth examining several key points
regarding the reasons behind these negotiations and their objectives.
Iran Is Negotiating with the U.S. from a
Position of Weakness.
The capitalist regime of the Islamic Republic if Iran has agreed to
these negotiations while in a position of weakness. This is a repetition of
modern Iranian history. When the former leader of the Islamic Republic,
Ruhollah Khomeini, drank the "chalice of poison" to end a futile war,
leaving half of it behind in the cup for other leaders of the Islamic Republic
to inherit, so they too could eventually drink it in full under the guise of
"revolutionary flexibility" and "revolutionary expediency"
in negotiations with the United States.
The Supreme Leader's labeling of negotiations with Donald Trump's
administration as dishonorable, and then suddenly reversing course a few days
later by accepting "indirect" talks with the U.S. in Oman, came as a cold-water shock to his supporters.
The reality is that, after decades of political repression and
implementing a chaotic neoliberal economic system, the Islamic Republic has
lost much of its domestic and regional capabilities. Now, solely for the sake
of its own survival, it is conceding on Iran's national interests in the face
of U.S. imperialist bullying, and accepting unprincipled compromises.
The regime entered the negotiations at a time when its political and
military influence in Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq, and elsewhere has significantly
diminished, and in Syria, it has lost its influence entirely.
The illegal economic, political, cultural and especially financial siege
of Iran has severely weakened the country’s economic and financial foundations.
This has forced the regime to shift the burden of this devastating crisis onto
the shoulders of the Iranian people, particularly the working class and the
lower segments of society.
The regime’s cronies, rent-seekers, corrupt families, and collaborators,
the pirates looting Iran’s national resources on land, remain untouched by the
pressure of these sanctions. They continue to funnel billions in foreign
currency to overseas bank accounts on behalf of the Islamic Republic's leaders.
Meanwhile, these inhumane sanctions, which bring inflation, unemployment, and
poverty, have fueled a wave of social discontent within Iran, weakening the
regime’s popular base. As a result, the government now leans heavily on the
small ruling elite; those who benefit from the privileges of the Islamic Republic.
The regime grows increasingly fearful of the people’s struggle and resistance.
In response, it resorts to repression, censorship, and the imprisonment
of critics to maintain its grip on power. The Islamic Republic is primarily
focused on saving its own rule, which means that preserving Iran’s independence
and national interests is no longer a fundamental priority.
These realities are not hidden, especially not from imperialist powers,
chief among them the United States. In fact, the U.S., which has played an
active role in creating this situation, has access to extensive intelligence on
the regime through its electronic surveillance agencies. It is well-aware of
which regime officials have stolen money and how much they have stashed in
foreign banks.
American imperialism spares no effort in
provoking and sabotaging Iran’s border regions through the establishment of
military bases nearby, provocations in the Persian Gulf, and the use of
unmanned aerial vehicles for surveillance over Iranian territory.
Among these developments, the joint U.S.-British naval base in Diego
Garcia has recently become a new focal point for escalating tensions. B2
bombers have been stationed there; the same type of aircraft that have been
used in recent months to carry out attacks on Yemen. In response, Iran has
issued serious warnings, declaring that any act of aggression will be met with
a decisive reaction. This is not the first time Washington has deployed
warships to the region.
Meanwhile, the “1945” digital news platform reported on this U.S.
move, stating: "B2 stealth bombers are now gathering at Diego
Garcia." The report adds that the world is now aware that the United
States has transferred around one-quarter of its B2 Spirit stealth bomber fleet
to Diego Garcia, the island that hosts the U.S. naval base in the Indo-Pacific
region.
Under such conditions, marked by growing
public discontent, the Islamic Republic of Iran has consented to negotiations
with the United States. Yet, from the outset, the outcome of these talks bears
the seeds of a bitter and ultimately fruitless harvest for Iran and its people.
The Islamic Republic, as a capitalist regime, has long adhered to the
policies of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund — adopting their
views on suppressing Iran’s working class, reducing wages, preventing strikes,
banning the formation of independent labour unions,
restricting the political activity of grassroots political organizations,
dismantling customs protections, pushing forward privatization, and sacrificing
the wealth of the Iranian people to the interests of these Western imperialist
institutions.
The leadership of this policy began with President Rafsanjani and has
been continued by all administrations of subsequent presidents; from Mohammad
Khatami to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Hassan Rouhani, Ebrahim Raisi, and now Masoud
Pezeshkian.
In the past, the Islamic Republic
shamefully retreated on Iran’s nuclear issue, surrendering its legitimate
rights. By betraying national interests, it signed the infamous JCPOA (Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action), thereby squandering countless opportunities and
dismantling or suspending vital nuclear activities, all in the misguided hope
that the U.S. imperialists would pursue peaceful relations with the regime. Yet
the more the Iranian regime complies with Washington’s demands, the more
emboldened the U.S. becomes in its efforts to extract further concessions.
American imperialists seek the very life of Iran. They demand that Iran
recognize Israel, becomes a major American base in the region against China and
Russia, and allow the U.S. free rein in Iran, to plunder resources without limit and to
install or remove governments at will.
Obviously, such imperialist bullying poses a serious threat to the
survival of the Iranian regime. The Islamic Republic’s pivot toward China and
Russia, a shift it avoided until the end of Donald Trump’s first term due to
pressure from American-aligned factions within Iran, is not simply a matter of
internal preference. It is also the result of the maximum pressure campaign and
inhumane sanctions imposed by the U.S. from outside, which drove Iran further
eastward.
Even the signing of the 25-year cooperation agreement with China was
delayed until after Joe Biden came to power, as the Rouhani faction still held
out hope for reconciliation with the U.S. However, once Biden took office and
it became clear that the aggression against China, Russia, Iran, North Korea,
and possibly even India, was part of his strategic agenda in the region, Iran's
leadership lost all illusions about compromise or making concessions to the
United States.
Naturally, the imperialist China also observed these developments and
recognized that Iran was negotiating from a weakened position, a reality that
would take it into account. The Iranian government approached China with
caution, always keeping one eye on the United States. But Biden dashed all the
regime’s hopes, breaking the resistance of the pro-American faction within
Iran, even before Iran’s own elections. Now, with the return of Donald Trump to
power, the situation has changed dramatically. The regional crisis has
deepened, and Iran’s allied forces have also become weaker.
What is the United States' objective in
engaging in negotiations, and what are its demands from Iran.
Our party has repeatedly stated and emphasized that the issue of Iran’s
nuclear program is just an excuse and does not have serious significance. Iran
has been under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
for years, and even U.S. intelligence agencies have stated that Iran does not
have nuclear weapons and is not pursuing the production of such weapons. Yet, despite
this, the U.S. continues its lies, hostility, and sabotage, maintaining its
political, economic, and psychological pressures against the regime and the
country.
The truth is that U.S. imperialists have long set their policy regarding
Iran. Ultimately, they want Iran to become a semi-colonial state, like it was
under the Shah. They want a country that acts as the regional gendarme,
collaborating with imperialists to plunder the region’s energy resources and
ensure their extraction and transfer to Western markets. They want Iran to
oppose China, Russia, and, at the appropriate time, India, Japan, and possibly
Europe, so that the U.S. can control the geopolitical and energy chokepoint of
the world, tightening or loosening the grip at will. They want Iran to be
aligned with them, not with China, in their strategic policy in the
Pacific Ocean in the coming decades..
Their issue, contrary to the claims of misled or self-serving Iranians,
is not the enrichment of uranium or the nuclear issue. For this reason, Donald
Trump, like his predecessor, lies: the Iranian nuclear weapon is just a
pretext, a propaganda tool to rally public opinion and disarm Iran. The goal is
to exhaust the adversary, offer negotiations and a “great deal,” prevent the
production of nuclear weapons under any condition, stop Iran from supporting
resistance movements like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis in Yemen, and
ultimately address issues like missiles and drones. These are the demands of
the U.S. to disarm Iran in favor of the interests and strategic objectives of
American imperialism and Israeli Zionism in the region.
What is Donald Trump’s Tactic Toward Iran?
In his second term as president, Donald Trump has entered the arena with
a new tactic. Whereas he used to speak about Iran in an aggressive and
threatening tone, this time he has adopted a different and seemingly
peace-seeking rhetoric. In a message he recently released, he emphasized that
he "wishes success for Iran," but at the same time, he reiterated his
red line regarding Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons.
While in recent months there has been speculation about a potential
escalation in military tensions and even the possibility of a joint
U.S.-Israeli military action against Iran, Trump dismissed these claims as
"exaggerated" and instead spoke of the idea of a "credible
nuclear peace deal." He even suggested that, after signing such an
agreement, a "major Middle Eastern celebration" should be held.
This shift in Trump’s tone is no coincidence. During his first term of presidency,
he pursued a "maximum pressure" policy against Iran and withdrew from
the nuclear deal (JCPOA). With this new message, he is aiming to create the
perception among the Iranian public that the leaders of the Islamic Republic
themselves are the obstacle to resolving the nuclear issue. In such a context,
if sanctions are intensified or even a military action occurs, Trump will attempt
placing the blame for the crisis on Iran rather than on U.S. policies.
The Islamic Republic’s Capitalist Regime at an Impasse
The continuation of the second round of "indirect
negotiations" in Italy, the resulting optimism in Iranian public opinion,
and the temporary dip in the value of the dollar are merely short-term remedies
to escape a deep political and economic crisis in Iran. The current situation
in Iran is likely to persist in this state for some time, with increasing
disorder. Economic sanctions will not be lifted, and even if they were, it
would not translate into any real, practical transformation in Iran’s economic
and financial life. The economic crisis and the hardships faced by the Iranian
people stem primarily from domestic policies, with economic sanctions merely
exacerbating the situation and not accounting for all of Iran’s current
problems.
The industrial infrastructure, spare parts, or aircraft fleets that Iran
needs are not sitting covered in dust in warehouses in imperialist countries,
ready to be shipped. These items first need to be produced and then sent to
Iran based on future economic agreements, a process that could take years. The
unfreezing of Iran’s blocked assets in the United States does not mean these
assets will be freely returned to Iran. The U.S. will not hand over cash to
Iran; instead, in return for Iran stepping back from uranium enrichment, it
will likely offer lines of credit that must be used to purchase American goods
for export to Iran.
The U.S. will undoubtedly impose binding and restrictive agreements on
Iran and pressure it to align with American policies in the region.
The Islamic Republic Regime: Isolated and at an Impasse
Since the 1979 revolution, the Islamic Republic has followed a path that
has increasingly alienated it from the Iranian people. It has become the object
of growing public resentment and ridicule. The regime has tried to rule through
repression and coercion, attempting to control the population with brute force.
As a result, it actively suppresses public debate over the true goals behind
the "indirect negotiations" in Oman and Italy, especially when such
discussions threaten to expose hidden agendas. These talks are concealed from
the public, with no accountability to anyone.
This policy of distancing itself from the people is, in fact, welcomed
by imperialist powers, as it makes it easier to pressure and manipulate the
regime for their own interests. Today, the Islamic Republic finds itself at a
dead end and can clearly see that it has lost one of its key regional allies, Syria.
While Hezbollah in Lebanon still exists and is in the process of reorganizing
and rebuilding, the region itself has changed.
It is now up to Iran to decide its course: either to reconcile with the
United States and submit fully to its terms, or to rely on its people and
resist the foreign imperialist threat and aggression. There is no longer a
middle path. Every move the regime makes now reflects only its crisis,
paralysis, and lack of clear direction.
What is the solution?
The only viable path forward for the Islamic Republic is to respect the
rights of the people, meet their demands, allow political and labour organizations to operate freely, lift censorship
from the mass media, and rebuild trust between the state and the public. It
must arrest and prosecute corrupt officials and government-linked criminals and
bring those responsible for execution of hundreds of thousands to justice in people’s
courts. By doing so, it may build a mountain of popular support.
Only with that foundation of public backing can a country stand up to
imperialist coercion and conspiracies. With the strength of such support, it
could confront the threats and bullying of figures like Donald Trump, defend
the national interests of the people. Through
such a support, Iran can assert its rightful claim to peaceful nuclear energy
use, or even, if necessary for national defense and deterrence, acquire nuclear
weapons.
Through a policy of good-neighborly relations, Iran could also resist
the plots of Zionism and regional reactionary forces. The destruction of
Zionism depends on the governments mobilizing and respecting the rights of
regional people.
But today, the Islamic Republic is trapped in a situation it can no
longer escape. Ultimately, it appears the regime will be forced to throw itself
into the arms of imperialism, hoping to shield itself from the “harm of events”.
In the Current Crisis, What Is the Duty of Communists?
In today’s critical situation, it is the duty of communists, specifically
our Party, and all revolutionary forces to raise awareness about the betrayals
of the Islamic Republic regime and to stand firmly against U.S. imperialism,
its bullying, sanctions, and military threats. We must work toward the building
and strengthening independent organizations of the masses, especially the
working class. We must not allow the regime to strike deals over the national
interests of the Iranian people or to preserve its own rule through compromises
with imperialism.
In the face of the potential danger of military aggression against Iran,
communists must take to the field with clear and principled slogans. We must
commit ourselves to mobilizing the public both within Iran and internationally.
The slogan “Hands off Iran!” is the most accurate and effective rallying
cry to unite the people and resist imperialist interference. This slogan
embodies patriotism, anti-imperialism, and the power to mobilize millions in
Iran as well as global public opinion.
Defending workers’ rights, specifically the fight to raise wages,
establish independent labour unions, abolish
exploitative contract labour systems, and stop
privatizations and layoffs, are among the concrete tasks that must be carried
out alongside the fight against foreign enemies. There is no alternative path
out of this deadlock.
We must emphasize that, as history has repeatedly shown, in today’s era
only the party of the working class, as the true representative of the
proletariat, bears the historic mission of leading the struggle for liberation,
defending Iran’s national independence and territorial integrity, and
establishing socialism. Let us dedicate ourselves to this revolutionary
and emancipatory goal, let us raise high the banner of this lofty goal!
The Party of Labour
of Iran (Toufan)
April 16, 2025
(This is the English translation of the
article published in Toufan No. 302)
www.tufan.org